Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Could Hit $250K by 2025 with Fed Policy Shift

Arthur Hayes, the founder of BitMEX, believes that Bitcoin’s price movements are closely tied to market expectations around future changes in fiat currency supply.
In his latest analysis, Hayes projects that Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by the end of 2025, contingent on a major policy shift by the U.S. Federal Reserve from quantitative tightening (QT) to quantitative easing (QE), particularly with regard to Treasury bond purchases.
Hayes emphasizes that Bitcoin is highly sensitive to changes in monetary policy, acting as a key indicator of global liquidity. He points out that previous instances of aggressive money printing, such as the COVID-19 stimulus programs, led to significant rallies in Bitcoin and other risk assets.
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If the Fed decides to reverse its tightening measures and continues to purchase Treasuries through QE, it could flood the financial system with liquidity, prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets like Bitcoin.
The $250,000 price target that Hayes has set for Bitcoin is based on the expectation that the Fed will turn to easing in response to economic pressures.
While this target is ambitious, growing speculation about a policy shift could drive further bullish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. If Bitcoin continues to follow macroeconomic trends and central bank policies, Hayes’ prediction could become more feasible, especially with Bitcoin on track to surpass its all-time high in 2025.