Bearish Outlook: S&P 500 Threatened by 2024 Recession Signals

At present, the S&P 500 index rests at 4,567, marking a December downturn. This decline aligns with the Federal Reserve's move to ease interest rates, causing a dip in the U.S. dollar.
Notably, the Nasdaq, Dow Jones, and S&P 500 indices seem stable at their current support levels. Projections from JP Morgan’s top analyst hint at a potential 23% to 25% plunge for the S&P 500 in the short term.
Wall Street is witnessing a shift from bullish to bearish sentiments, signaling a global market sway towards pessimism. Various economic indicators now suggest an impending recession expected to hit the markets around 2024.
JP Morgan’s technical strategy head, Jason Hunter, points out a significant turn in the S&P 500’s trajectory. He warns of indications pointing to a forthcoming low in 2024, possibly dragging it down to 3,500—a sharp fall of about 25% from its current value at 4,567.
“Anticipate a market correction. Based on technical analysis, we might see the S&P 500 drop to 3,500,” Hunter mentioned in an interview on CNBC’s Squawk Box.
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Hunter attributes this bearish trend to the looming recession, highlighting risks even in the event of a “soft landing” for the U.S. economy. Consequently, stock values might undergo immense pressure, potentially leading the S&P 500 to record lows in the coming years.
“Analyzing historical patterns since yield curve inversions dating back to the 1960s, there’s a strong tendency toward entering a bear market associated with a recession. As we move into the upcoming year, this trend could persist,” he summarized.