Bitcoin Miner Sell-Offs Mirror Past Patterns, Hinting at Potential Rebound
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Bitcoin miners are under significant financial strain, particularly after the recent fourth halving event.
To manage rising operational costs, many miners are selling their BTC holdings.
Recent on-chain data indicates a wave of miner capitulation similar to what was seen in December 2022, shortly after the FTX collapse. This raises questions about potential impacts on the current market cycle.
Julio Moreno, CryptoQuant’s head of research, noted that Bitcoin miner capitulation levels now match those of December 2022, which marked the bottom of the previous cycle following FTX’s downfall. The collapse led to widespread panic and sell-offs, significantly dropping Bitcoin’s price.
#Bitcoin miner capitulation has reached levels comparable to December 2022: 7.6% drawdown.
December 2022 marked the cycle bottom after the FTX colapse. pic.twitter.com/8A3p2XDvXW
— Julio Moreno (@jjcmoreno) June 28, 2024
At that time, miner capitulation included a 7.6% drop in the Network True Hashrate. Currently, the Network True Hashrate Drawdown is also at -7.6%.
READ MORE: Peter Schiff Criticizes Bitcoin’s Q2 Performance Compared to Gold
This metric reflects the reduced computational power for mining Bitcoin, indicating financial struggles for miners.
Such significant drawdowns often lead to increased selling pressure, potentially driving Bitcoin’s price lower. However, historical patterns show that significant miner capitulation can precede market recoveries. In December 2022, similar conditions marked the cycle bottom, suggesting that Bitcoin might be poised for a rebound.