Cardano Breaks Key Levels: What’s the Next Target?
ADA has broken through important resistance levels on the daily chart that had capped the price for months, but the next level combines a key moving average and a major target in the same zone.
Summary
- ADA is trading at $0.2739.
- The daily 50 MA and 100 MA have now been broken.
- The daily 200 MA at $0.3536 is the next resistance.
- Support at $0.25 started the entire move.
The $0.25 Support That Started Everything
The current move in Cardano did not begin this week. Analyst Ali Charts identified $0.25 as a critical monthly support level that has already triggered strong recoveries twice over the past few years.
$0.25 is a critical support level for Cardano!
In my analysis of the monthly chart, this floor has acted as a launchpad for significant rebounds on two major occasions:
• January 2023: $ADA bounced off $0.25, resulting in a 88.27% rally over the following weeks.
• September… pic.twitter.com/COknFMkG3H— Ali Charts (@alicharts) May 9, 2026
In January 2023, the price bounced from this bottom and gained 88.27% in the following weeks. In September 2023, the same level held again and led to a 243% rally. In recent weeks, ADA tested $0.25 once more, and the support held again. This rebound built the technical structure now visible across two timeframes.
Rally on the 1-Hour Chart
The 1-hour ADA chart shows the mechanism behind the recent rally. Since May 2, the price has gradually moved upward, with the 100-period moving average (MA) at $0.2656 acting as constant dynamic support. Every short-term pullback attracted buyers around that level before the price continued higher.
By May 5 and 6, the rally accelerated and pushed ADA toward $0.28, while all three hourly moving averages remained below the price in a clear bullish alignment:
- 50 MA at $0.2676
- 100 MA at $0.2656
- 200 MA at $0.2577
The RSI on the 1H chart reached 69.03 at the peak of the move before cooling down to 56.95 at the time of writing. This cooldown allowed the market to clear short-term overbought conditions without giving back much of the rally.
What the Daily Breakout Means
The daily chart shows the broader picture. For months, the 50 MA and 100 MA acted as resistance above the price, stopping every recovery attempt and confirming the downtrend that pushed ADA from above $0.60 at the end of 2025 down toward the $0.25 area.
Now, the price has closed above both levels:
50 MA at $0.2516
100 MA at $0.2629
Both are now below the current price of $0.2739, turning from resistance into support.
The daily RSI stands at 66.22. The indicator remains elevated but has not yet reached overbought territory, leaving room for further upside before momentum begins to weaken.
The Confluence That Could Decide Direction
The 200 MA on the daily chart sits at $0.3536. Ali Charts’s main bullish target is $0.36. The difference between the two levels is only $0.0064, or less than 2%.
READ MORE: Altcoins Have Returned to the Zone That Triggered the Last Altseason
This does not appear accidental. The area around $0.36 has repeatedly acted as a major reference point on the monthly chart across different cycles, while the 200 MA has gradually declined toward it after months of prolonged downside pressure.
Any rally into this zone will likely face pressure from both:
- the descending 200 MA acting as dynamic resistance
- traders watching $0.36 as a major target for months
This makes the area a structural ceiling rather than just a single line that can easily be broken through short-term momentum alone.
The Bearish Scenario and the Level That Invalidates the Structure
The counterargument is clear: ADA has previously failed at the 200 MA, and the daily RSI at 66.22 is already approaching levels where previous rejections appeared during the 2026 decline.
The remaining distance of 29% to the 200 MA is also significant for an asset that spent months trading in a relatively tight range.
If the price fails to hold the daily 100 MA at $0.2629, the entire breakout structure will begin to weaken. Ali Charts identified $0.25 as the invalidation level. A close below it would not look like a normal correction, but rather a deeper structural breakdown with little nearby support at lower levels.
Signals That Confirm or Cancel the Scenario
Bullish Scenario
- Daily close above $0.29 within the next seven days
- Successful retest and hold of the 100 MA at $0.2629
- RSI remaining above 60
Such a sequence would confirm that the breakout is genuine and that the 200 MA is the next major target.
Bearish Scenario
Daily close back below $0.2629 on elevated volume within the next five days.
This would suggest the breakout above the MA levels was a false move and would likely send ADA back into the consolidation range it has traded in since February.
At the time of writing, the structure still supports the bullish case. Two key resistance levels are now below the price, the monthly support has held for the third time in three years, and the technical targets identified by both the chart and the analyst converge in the same area. The main test remains the daily 200 MA at $0.3536, and reaching it depends on whether ADA can continue holding above $0.2629.
Cardano Climbs to #2 Among Layer 1s by Validator Count
Beyond the price action, Cardano is also strengthening fundamentally at the network level. According to recent data shared by Token Terminal, Cardano now has approximately 2,900 active validators securing the network, making it the second-largest Layer 1 blockchain by validator count.
NEWS
CARDANO CLIMBS TO #2 AMONG L1s BY VALIDATOR COUNT 😱😱😱
Cardano now has 2.9K validators securing the network, making it the second-largest Layer 1 by validator count. pic.twitter.com/nTRZoQmKWD
— Mintern (@MinswapIntern) May 8, 2026
This matters because validator growth is often viewed as a direct reflection of decentralization, network resilience, and long-term ecosystem health. A larger validator set reduces reliance on a small group of operators and strengthens security against potential attacks or outages. The steady increase in Cardano validators since 2021 also suggests that participation in the ecosystem continues to expand even during extended market corrections, reinforcing the argument that ADA’s current recovery is being supported not only by technical momentum, but also by improving network fundamentals.
The information presented in this article is intended for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial, investment, or trading advice. Coinspress.com does not promote or advocate for any particular investment strategy, asset, or cryptocurrency project. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable – always perform your own research and seek guidance from a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Kosta Gushterov
Reporter at CoinsPress
Kosta has reported on cryptocurrency markets and blockchain infrastructure since 2020, bringing over six years of hands-on experience in the crypto industry built through daily tracking of markets, trends, and emerging blockchain developments. Specializing in Bitcoin on-chain analysis, institutional ETF flows, and digital asset price action, his work has been cited by other news agencies and consistently covers market developments with a focus on data-driven reporting across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Over the years, Kosta has contributed to multiple crypto media outlets in different regions, authoring over 6,000 articles across the sector. His reporting spans cryptocurrency markets and the broader fintech industry, tracking not only price action but also the technological and regulatory forces shaping the ecosystem. To support his analysis, Kosta actively leverages on-chain data and metrics from leading platforms such as Santiment, Glassnode, and CryptoQuant, enabling deeper, evidence-based market insights. He believes in the power of transparency and the data that underpins the blockchain ecosystem. His academic background in Marketing Management from Denmark further complements his analytical approach, adding a strong understanding of communication strategy and content positioning to his work.
