Crypto Market Readies for Volatility Amid U.S. Presidential Election and FOMC Decisions
The crypto market is bracing for a pivotal week marked by the 2024 U.S. Presidential election and the FOMC's interest rate decision, raising expectations for volatility.
Concerns are also emerging about a possible market crash on election day, but analysis from The Kobeissi Letter suggests fluctuations will occur regardless of the election outcome.
Bitcoin, which is currently trading near $69,000 after peaking at $73,577.21, has historically performed well after elections, leading many to anticipate a rally post-election. Political support for crypto is growing, with Donald Trump endorsing Bitcoin and Kamala Harris showing interest in technological advancements, suggesting potential gains for the market.
The outcome of the election could influence future cryptocurrency regulations, with many investors hoping for a more favorable environment under a new administration. Trump’s pledge to dismiss SEC Chair Gary Gensler has fueled optimism, as his support for Bitcoin as a strategic reserve has also encouraged traders.
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As the election nears, historical trends indicate that stocks and cryptocurrencies often experience volatility but tend to perform well in the months leading up to elections. Matrixport’s analysis shows Bitcoin remains neutral with a 21-day RSI of 56%, positioning it as a potential opportunity for volatility trading. Past trends suggest Bitcoin could follow the S&P 500’s trajectory, leading to significant gains in the year following the election.