Iran Attack on Israel Sparks Oil Price Surge Concerns
Oil market analysts anticipate a surge in oil prices as the new trading week kicks off, following Iran's recent drone and missile attack on Israel late Saturday.
This significant escalation, reportedly in response to Iran’s suspicions of an Israeli assault on its consulate in Syria, has sparked concerns about a broader regional conflict that could impact global oil markets, according to Reuters.
Before settling at $90.45, Brent crude prices had peaked at $92.18 per barrel on Friday, marking their highest level since October. Meanwhile, U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures closed at $85.66. Notably, trading is inactive on Sundays.
Tamas Varga from oil broker PVM noted that while there hasn’t been an immediate impact on oil production and Iran has hinted at the issue being resolved, it’s reasonable to anticipate higher prices when trading resumes.
However, Varga cautioned that the market rally might be short-lived unless there’s a significant disruption in regional oil supply.
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In response to the attack, President Joe Biden announced plans for a meeting of the Group of Seven (G7) nations to discuss a coordinated diplomatic response.
Analysts like UBS’s Giovanni Staunovo pointed out that the duration of any price increases would depend on Israel’s response and whether the G7 nations would take measures targeting Iranian crude exports.
Iran’s increased oil exports during the Biden administration have been a contentious issue, particularly amid the upcoming U.S. presidential elections. Curbing Iranian exports could potentially drive up oil prices and gasoline costs in the U.S., becoming a significant topic in the election discourse.
The security of the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial maritime passage for global oil shipments, remains a focal point. Recent Iranian threats to close it if necessary have added to concerns about oil market stability.