Bitcoin’s Latest Dip: Is It the Calm Before a Storm? – Bloomberg Expert Weighs-in
Bloomberg Intelligence's senior macro strategist, Mike McGlone, recently raised concerns about Bitcoin's latest correction, indicating potential challenges as central banks reverse their loose monetary policies.
Despite the possibility of US spot ETFs gaining approval and a strong stock market, Bitcoin has seen a 15% drop in the third quarter. McGlone suggests this could be a signal of an impending liquidity crisis.
Cryptocurrencies rose to prominence during a period of near-zero interest rates, making them susceptible to changes as rates rise. McGlone’s data, covering Bitcoin’s journey from $1 to $69,000, aligns with the idea that the leading cryptocurrency may experience corrections as interest rates increase.
A court ruling has pushed the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to reconsider approving Grayscale’s BTC ETF application for regulatory consistency. This regulatory development adds to the uncertainty surrounding the cryptocurrency market.
McGlone highlights the logic behind a digital asset like Bitcoin, which matured during a period of minimal and even negative interest rates, undergoing a correction as rates rise. Bitcoin’s apparent vulnerability might reflect its response to rapidly increasing interest rates.
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Federal funds futures are currently pricing in a rate of approximately 5.45% in November, a significant change from the 0.6% average observed from 2011 to 2021 when Bitcoin surged from $1 to around $69,000. This shift in interest rates could be a critical factor influencing Bitcoin’s future price movements.