Crypto Investor Predicts Bitcoin Surge Amid Bond Market Shift
Investor Luke Gromen predicts that Bitcoin (BTC) and other risk assets will thrive as sentiment shifts away from US long-term bonds.
In a recent update, Gromen highlights that inflationary pressures are likely to drive capital from the bond market into stocks, gold, and Bitcoin.
He explains that the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond exchange-traded fund (TLT) is showing signs of weakness compared to risk assets and inflation hedges.
Gromen notes, “There’s a $130 trillion global bond market that needs to move into a $65 trillion stock market, a $14 trillion gold market, and a $1.3 trillion Bitcoin market to seek safety from inflation.
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The charts reflect this shift. S&P 500, Nasdaq, and industrial stocks over TLT look like hockey sticks. Gold and Bitcoin over TLT also show strong upward trends, although Bitcoin’s path is more volatile.”
Gromen believes this trend signals the early stages of a period of secular inflation, where stocks may rise in dollar terms but decline in gold and Bitcoin terms, likening it to an “Argentina with US characteristics.”
Argentina’s stock market index (MERVAL) has soared over 3,779% in the past twenty years due to high inflation, averaging more than 188% annual returns. However, the Argentinian peso has dramatically lost value in dollar terms during the same period.