XRP Failed Again to Hold $1.50: Why the Level Matters So Much
XRP broke above $1.45 and held the zone as support while the market watches whether it can test $1.50 for a third time.
Summary:
- XRP is trading at $1.4511.
- The price reached a high of $1.508 during the breakout.
- The $1.50 level has now stopped the rally twice.
- The 50 MA and 100 MA remain below the price.
- RSI is at 58 and still does not indicate an overbought market.
- Key support remains in the $1.44–$1.45 zone.
- The next targets above $1.50 are $1.60 and $1.67.
The breakout above $1.45 is important not only because XRP overcame a level that stopped it at the end of April. More importantly, the 100-period moving average (MA) at $1.4039 remains below the breakout zone.
This means that a move back below $1.44 would not simply confirm the breakout as failed. It would also push the price back into a range where two of the three major moving averages lose their bullish structure.
Around April 17, XRP moved toward the $1.50 zone but failed to hold above it. A sharp pullback followed toward $1.35 – one of the deepest declines during April’s consolidation phase.
After that, the price spent nearly three weeks gradually recovering through the $1.35–$1.45 range before finally returning above $1.45.
The structure of the moving averages beneath the breakout is the detail that is often overlooked in charts like this.
The 50 MA at $1.3858 and the 100 MA at $1.4039 are now below the current price and continue to rise on the daily chart.
As a result, the support area between $1.38 and $1.40 suggests that, in the event of a correction, XRP has two consecutive technical support zones before the price returns to where the move originally started.
The 200 MA at $1.7547 remains $0.3037 above the current price and continues to trend sharply downward. It does not appear to be a short-term target, but it still defines the upper boundary of the broader structure.
What the Volume Suggests
The sharp increase in volume during the breakout is an important signal. When buying is driven mainly by retail investors, volume usually rises gradually.
The candle that moved above $1.45 and reached the area around $1.50 was accompanied by a clearly visible volume spike. This does not resemble the typical retail-driven price chase where volume arrives after the move itself. Here, volume appeared simultaneously with the breakout – something that more often suggests positioning in advance.
The subsequent pullback also fits this structure. XRP broke above $1.45, tested $1.50, encountered sellers at the same level that capped the rally in April, and then returned to the lower support zone.
READ MORE: Sui Gains on Privacy Push and Supply Squeeze
This sequence – breakout, resistance test, and pullback toward support – is a classic confirmed breakout structure. For now, the $1.44–$1.45 range remains the line between healthy consolidation and a failed breakout.
Why the Third Test of $1.50 Looks Different
The RSI at 58.03 is one of the details that separates this breakout from an exhausted move.
The indicator still leaves room for another push toward $1.50 without the market entering the risky zone above 70, where more serious sell-offs often begin.
The first rejection from the $1.47–$1.50 zone came in mid-April, when XRP was sharply rejected and fell all the way back to $1.34.
The second rejection happened after the latest breakout above $1.45, when the price reached $1.50, sellers became active again, and a pullback followed toward the current $1.4511 level.
Two rejections at the same level under different market conditions turn $1.50 into the most important zone in XRP’s current structure.
However, the third attempt will most likely come under a different setup.
In April, XRP was attacking the zone without established support beneath it. Now, the $1.44–$1.45 range already acts as a confirmed base, while two rising moving averages remain below the price.
The RSI at 58 also leaves room for movement toward 65-70 before the market reaches overbought conditions.
It is precisely this combination of stronger support and a wider momentum window that could make the third test of $1.50 significantly more stable than the previous two attempts.
If XRP closes a daily candle above $1.50 with volume above recent average levels, the path toward the March high at $1.60 and the February peak at $1.67 could open.
On the other hand, the market is dealing with a level that has already managed to stop the rally twice in a short period — something that usually attracts even more sellers during the next test.
Traders who missed the previous two rejections will likely begin positioning their short trades more aggressively even before XRP reaches $1.50 again.
The signal for a genuine breakout would be a daily close above $1.50 with high volume. That would show that the concentration of sellers in the zone has been absorbed.
Conversely, a daily close below $1.44 within the next 48 hours would suggest that the breakout has failed and that the next downside target remains the support area between $1.38 and $1.40.
Kosta Gushterov
Reporter at CoinsPress
Kosta has reported on cryptocurrency markets and blockchain infrastructure since 2020, bringing over six years of hands-on experience in the crypto industry built through daily tracking of markets, trends, and emerging blockchain developments. Specializing in Bitcoin on-chain analysis, institutional ETF flows, and digital asset price action, his work has been cited by other news agencies and consistently covers market developments with a focus on data-driven reporting across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and XRP. Over the years, Kosta has contributed to multiple crypto media outlets in different regions, authoring over 6,000 articles across the sector. His reporting spans cryptocurrency markets and the broader fintech industry, tracking not only price action but also the technological and regulatory forces shaping the ecosystem. To support his analysis, Kosta actively leverages on-chain data and metrics from leading platforms such as Santiment, Glassnode, and CryptoQuant, enabling deeper, evidence-based market insights. He believes in the power of transparency and the data that underpins the blockchain ecosystem. His academic background in Marketing Management from Denmark further complements his analytical approach, adding a strong understanding of communication strategy and content positioning to his work.
