Trump and Zelenskiy Signal Progress, but Peace Deal Still Not Imminent

The latest push to end the war in Ukraine is unfolding less like a breakthrough and more like a slow convergence of competing red lines.
After a private meeting at Mar-a-Lago, Donald Trump described discussions with Volodymyr Zelenskiy as productive, but made clear that a deal is not imminent and that weeks of negotiation may still lie ahead.
Rather than announcing concrete outcomes, both leaders framed the talks as progress in principle. Trump acknowledged movement across multiple fronts, yet stopped short of claiming success, signaling that the diplomatic effort has entered a more delicate phase where details, not intentions, will decide the outcome.
What’s close to agreement – and what isn’t
According to Zelenskiy, several pillars of a potential settlement are largely settled. Military coordination and US-Ukraine security guarantees were described as fully agreed, while broader arrangements involving Europe are nearing completion. A post-war economic framework, aimed at recovery and long-term stability, is also being finalized.
But the core obstacle remains unchanged. The future of eastern Ukraine, particularly the Donbas region partially occupied by Russian forces, continues to block a final agreement. Trump openly admitted that this territorial question remains unresolved, even as he suggested negotiators are closer than before.
Diplomacy widens beyond Washington and Kyiv
The talks quickly expanded beyond the two leaders. Trump and Zelenskiy briefed several European counterparts during a joint call, including Emmanuel Macron, Keir Starmer, and Friedrich Merz. Trump later indicated that Europe would shoulder a larger share of Ukraine’s future security arrangements, with the US acting as a supporting force rather than the sole guarantor.
Further talks involving European leaders are expected in January in Washington, underscoring how the peace process is becoming increasingly multilateral.
Russia’s position hardens as fighting intensifies
Trump confirmed that he has spoken directly with Vladimir Putin and left the door open to a trilateral meeting if negotiations advance far enough. For now, Moscow’s stance remains firm. Russian officials continue to demand territorial concessions, limits on Ukraine’s post-war military, and guarantees against NATO expansion.
Those demands were reinforced by events on the ground. Over the weekend, Russia launched one of its largest aerial attacks in months, targeting Kyiv and critical energy infrastructure with hundreds of drones and missiles. The strikes underscored the disconnect between diplomatic engagement and military escalation.
Pressure, leverage, and unresolved trade-offs
Trump has signaled that Ukraine may need to show flexibility, while also floating the prospect of future economic cooperation with Russia as part of a broader settlement. Zelenskiy has reiterated his willingness to agree to a ceasefire to allow negotiations to proceed, but insists that any pause in fighting must be backed by credible security guarantees.
Other unresolved issues include the fate of Russian assets frozen in the West, the lifting of sanctions, Ukraine’s long-term military capacity, and control of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, currently occupied by Russian forces. Kyiv has rejected demands to surrender territory outright, though it has hinted at limited demilitarization under strict conditions.
Momentum without a finish line
For now, the peace effort sits in an in-between state. The outlines of a deal are becoming clearer, but the most politically explosive issues remain untouched. Trump’s message was cautiously optimistic, Zelenskiy’s was forward-looking, and Russia’s was defiant.
Whether this phase produces a negotiated end to the conflict or simply reshapes the battlefield for another year will depend on how much ground each side is ultimately willing to give up – and how much pressure the mediators are prepared to apply to force a conclusion.









