Former Goldman Sachs Exec Forecasts Epic Price Surge in Crypto
According to former Goldman Sachs executive Raoul Pal, the crypto markets are expected to experience a rapid surge in the next six months, surpassing the previous rebound in 2019.
During an interview with Nathaniel Whittemore on The Breakdown, Pal, an expert in macroeconomics, expressed his belief that the crypto industry is poised for a significant price surge.
In Pal’s opinion, the current situation differs from 2019, when there was a prolonged pullback as global central bank balance sheets contracted temporarily. Given the current global circumstances and their trajectory, Pal anticipates a faster pace.
He likens the current cycle to the period between 2015 and 2016, characterized by a substantial upward movement, which is still ongoing. This would be followed by a sideways correction lasting around five months, culminating in another significant surge as central banks actively intervene.
Pal also predicts that the influx of venture capital (VC) investments and the subsequent product development during the bear market will drive innovation and increase the adoption of cryptocurrencies.
He suggests that the nature of this adoption remains uncertain, as it could arise from various sectors, including gaming, digital identification, NFTs, Web3, or decentralized finance (DeFi). The diversity of potential sources of adoption makes the outlook particularly intriguing.
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Furthermore, Pal expects traditional finance (TradFi) hedge funds to allocate capital to cryptocurrencies, injecting substantial liquidity into the digital asset markets.
He emphasizes the vast size of the global hedge fund industry in TradFi, which amounts to $3 trillion, primarily comprising pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, high-net-worth, and individual retirement account (IRA) investments. In contrast, the total value of all crypto hedge funds combined is only approximately $5 billion, accounting for a mere 1% of the former.
Consequently, Pal foresees a considerable influx of long-term, substantial capital into the crypto space, addressing the issue of illiquidity in secondary markets and potentially stabilizing their volatility.